Category Archives: Uncategorized

Harry Reid says “It’s not the end” regarding the BLM/Rancher #NevadaStandoff

N4TM Commentary:

Waaahh? That’s Cliven Bundy?! I had not seen one video yet of this crazy guy. Wow, so Reid is going to fight an old cowboy who’s demanding the FEDS do as he (we the people) say? This has terrible joke written all over it. Sad thing is this is “real News” to some.

Excerpt from Article:

“The BLM said Cliven Bundy’s cattle were grazing illegally on federal land – and he owed the government about a million dollars in back fees. Armed militia groups sided with Bundy. Rather than risk violence, the BLM called off the round-up on Saturday and returned 300 head of cattle.
But on Monday, senate majority leader Harry Reid, who represents Nevada, said this isn’t the end of the issue.
“Well it’s not over. We can’t have an American people that violate the law and just walk away from it, so it’s not over.” said Reid.” End of quote

“U.S., Ukraine sign $1 billion aid deal”

U.S., Ukraine sign $1 billion aid deal:

1 Billion Dollars to Ukraine. And we the American people are to believe this is NOT a pretext for WAR with Russia.

We do not get our oil from Russia, we get our oil from mostly South American countries that oppress their people. We do however make deals with the Saudis and use certain underdeveloped economically oppressed countries to refine our oil, and to a certain extent we are obligated to them to maintain a status quo. The fight in Russia over the Ukraine border has nothing to do with the will of the people, because the will of the people (as far as I’ve read) express an allegiance to Russia and desire to rejoin Russia and leave the EU. Our country is the primary make-up of NATO, when you hear “NATO” is going to protect the people of the Ukraine against the big bad wolf, Putin, you must auto correct that statement in  your mind and read or hear it as, the United States of America is going to further police the world and get into another never ending costly and bloody war with Russia. Think, what is Afghanistan, Iraq, Kuwaitt, Iran, Syria, really about? Is it about terrorism? The “hijackers of 9-11″ were Saudi not Afghani or Iraqi. Many of the mentioned countries made oil burose’s with Russia and China to leave the Saudi blockade.

UPDATE 1-Afghanistan signs major oil deal with China’s CNPC

KABUL, Dec 28 (Reuters) – Afghanistan signed a deal with China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) on Wednesday for the development of oil blocks in the Amu Darya basin, a project expected to earn the war-torn state billions of dollars over two decades.

The deal covering drilling and a refinery in the northern provinces of Sar-e Pul and Faryab is the first international oil production agreement entered into by the Afghan government for several decades.

“In 30 days from now they will shift their experts and equipment to the site,” Mining Minister Wahidullah Shahrani told a news conference, referring to the CNPC.

“The practical work will start in October 2012.”

The contract is valid for 25 years.

It marks the second major deal for China in Afghanistan after Metallurgical Corp of China signed a contract in 2008 to develop the huge Aynak copper mine south of Kabul, which is due to start producing by the end of 2014. Reuters


State-owned CNPC and joint venture partner Watan Group, a diversified Afghan company, will explore for oil in three fields in the basin — Kashkari, Bazarkhami and Zamarudsay — which are estimated to hold about 87 million barrels of oil.

Trans-Afghanistan Pipeline:  Wikipedia

Iran’s Threat To The Dollar:WBJournal

The charter of the Iranian oil bourse, a commodity exchange that opened in 2008, calls for the commercialization of petroleum and other byproducts in other currencies, primarily the euro, Iranian rial and a basket of other major currencies. Iran sits on one of the largest oil and gas reserves in the world, and it plans to develop an oil market that won’t accept U.S. dollars. In fact, Iran has proposed the creation of a Petrochemical Exporting Countries Forum (PECF), aimed at financial and technological cooperation among members, as well as product pricing and policy making in production issues, not unlike those of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

Iranian oil bourse: Wikipedia

While researching back story articles to use as evidence or reference pieces to support my theory I found this article and this particular section jumped out at me:

“Afghanistan reflects the illusion of a lost cause. After over 12 years of imperial war and occupation, Washington won’t cut its losses and leave. It’s for good reason.

Afghanistan is considered a geopolitical prize. Plans are to stay indefinitely. War won’t end.

At issue is controlling Eurasia’s vast oil, gas and other resources. It’s controlling the world’s largest opium supply.

It floods world markets with heroin. It provides enormous profits for Wall Street. It gives CIA access to billions of dollars in elicit drug money.

Occupied Afghanistan gives America a strategically located land-based aircraft carrier. It’s part of Washington’s plan to encircle Russia and China with bases.

Both nations represent the only challengers to US global dominance. Imperial supremacy depends on neutralizing their alliance.

China is the world’s second largest economy. In a decade or less, it may surpass America. Russia is a formidable military power. It’s the only nation able to challenge America’s military might.

It has enormous oil and gas resources. China needs access to them. Both nations benefit strategically by allying.

Doing so weakens America’s longterm position. The new great game pits Washington against a Sino/Russian alliance. The fullness of time will tell which side prevails.” Source GlobalResearch (not an endorsement)

Sad to say I don’t read very many articles that lay out “theories” because I read so much “news” articles and pay attention to things I put the pieces together myself. Also, because I have my own blog I don’t often read other people’s blogs or commentary either. I’m an actual ‘thinker’ and like to work out the issues in my own head. I rarely read a story that is independent of something else happening. Over the years I have learned to read “news” with discernment. I’m not always right but this particular issue of “war” for oil, power, money, and control is an old hat. The subject matter is as old as time and is not one that takes great knowledge on my part. We’d be fools to think that any of these latest wars of the 21st century have to do with “establishing democracy” in the world. If you haven’t noticed we are less free and more oppressed than ever before and we, being the US magna-carta driving force, has the greatest responsibility for being the oppressor and instigator. I don’t know if the US will actually go to war with Russia over this “Ukraine” issue or if it’ll smooth itself over after a few skirmishes and a few smack-downs from some MiGs, but indefinitely something will happen at some point–maybe if I wrote a book with a cool graphic I could make a few dollars hypothesizing  but I’ll just pump out my uneducated guesses for free here!

Ukraine signs $10 billion shale gas deal with Chevron: Reuters (Nov. 2013)

Ukraine to invest 1 billion dollars to develop three Iranian oil fields (Xinhua)

09:57, December 26, 2011

TEHRAN, Dec. 25 (Xinhua) — A Ukrainian company will invest 1 billion U.S. dollars to develop three Iranian oil fields, the local satellite Press TV reported on Sunday.

Iran’s Petroleum Engineering and Development Company (PEDC) and Ukraine’s Inter Naft Gas Prom Pars will sign the contract by the end of the current Iranian year (March 20), said the report.

Under the comprehensive development plan of the three oil fields, Koohmond, Boushkan and Kouhkali, 10,000 to 12,000 barrels of oil are expected to be produced per day in the first phase, and about 25,000 barrels per day in the second phase, according to the report.

On Dec. 18, Iranian media reported that it signed an oil contract worth one billion U.S. dollars with the Russian Tatarstan republic’s Tatneft Oil Company on development of Zagheh oil field in southern Iran. But Tatneft Oil Company denied such reports two days later. –end of quote

Ukraine crisis is about Great Power oil, gas pipeline rivalry: Guardian


over a decade ago by Professor R. Craig Nation, Director of Russian and Eurasian Studies at the US Army War College’s Strategic Studies Institute, in a NATO publication:

“Ukraine is increasingly perceived to be critically situated in the emerging battle to dominate energy transport corridors linking the oil and natural gas reserves of the Caspian basin to European markets… Considerable competition has already emerged over the construction of pipelines. Whether Ukraine will provide alternative routes helping to diversify access, as the West would prefer, or ‘find itself forced to play the role of a Russian subsidiary,’ remains to be seen.”

A more recent US State Department-sponsored report notes that “Ukraine’s strategic location between the main energy producers (Russia and the Caspian Sea area) and consumers in the Eurasian region, its large transit network, and its available underground gas storage capacities”, make the country “a potentially crucial player in European energy transit” – a position that will “grow as Western European demands for Russian and Caspian gas and oil continue to increase.” — end of quote




The Blood Moon False Prophecy Hype: Oh what an adulterous generation

“1 The Pharisees also with the Sadducees came, and tempting desired him that he would shew them a sign from heaven. 2 He answered and said unto them, When it is evening, ye say, It will be fair weather: for the sky is red. 3 And in the morning, It will be foul weather to day: for the sky is red and lowring. O ye hypocrites, ye can discern the face of the sky; but can ye not discern the signs of the times? 4 A wicked and adulterous generation seeketh after a sign; and there shall no sign be given unto it, but the sign of the prophet Jonas. And he left them, and departed.” Matthew 16: 1-4

**Links provided are not an endorsement they present information and/or are cited sources within the text** Also, I’m not a bible scholar I ask for grace if I mixed up my interpretation of Revelation and ‘order’ I’m subject to correction by the Holy Spirit. The point of this post is to expose the lie of the “Blood Moon Prophecy” not try to teach you all theology.

screenshot Drudge Report Blood MoonA week or so ago I ran across a headline on Drudge Report about the “Blood Moon Prophecy;” and, that a certain MEGA Pastor was touting would be “sign of the Second Coming.” The link led to an article in a Texas based news website about Pastor John Hagee and what he was predicting would be the “signs in the Heavens” that Jesus Christ’s return is on the horizon. I opened with Matthew 16:4 specifically, but it wasn’t the first scripture that came to mind when reading the latest ludicrous “prophecy” regarding the Last Days.

From San Antonio news site:

“SAN ANTONIO — Megachurch pastor John Hagee is warning his San Antonio congregation and international following of a “world-shaking event that will happen between April 2014 and October 2015.” Source linked to above.

banner291john-hagee-bookJohn Hagee has been on tv for a long time. I was once duped by him. I remember years back buying one of his books entitled, Jerusalem Countdown. I read it with all enthusiasm and zero discernment. I was ripe with itching ears and wanted to get my hands on every book that would give me the cutting edge information regarding the “end days.” After I read it, the original book–there would be a revision following the one I read, I was convinced that Iran was 6 months to a couple years away from obtaining a nuclear bomb; and, I also naively bought into the blind support of Israel narrative which consequently includes fighting any and all enemies of Israel to the death. I’ve learned so much since those days, thus I can relate to those of you who are currently duped by him. As an example, when I saw the headline about the “Blood Moon” “END DAYS” mention I knew it was a false prophecy instinctively, but I clicked on the article because I also know that my brethren are eating this stuff  up like candy (I mean you all also bought the Duck Dynasty elk “are Christian” line and sinker!).

Without fail this “prophecy” or “prediction” for a lack of a better word has to do with John’s latest book:

Four Blood Moons John Hagee book coverThere’s always a book!

I saw video a few years ago about the “Four Blood Moons” that were going to appear in 2014 and it was afar off at the time. I was so entrenched with immanency that I nixed the thought off my shoulder declaring in my undiscerning mind, “if we make it to 2014…” I had no hope of the future at the time, less than I do today, but at least today I make plans for the future (Lord willing) and have a HOPE (the LORD). The video was a couple of white haired gentlemen  sitting there excited as all get out about the “Four Blood Moons” and the possibility of the End of the World. Neglecting all the other prophesies in the Bible, the white haired gentlemen, and many others are truly mesmerized by the lunar eclipses about to take place.

I don’t deny that in thee end there will be signs in the heavens. I don’t deny the scripture that states emphatically that the stars will fall, the moon will turn to blood (not eclipsed with a red to brown tinge of color) and that the Sun will only give forth a third of its light. Those are true statements, but that is not now!

Joel 2:31 in context:

28And it shall come to pass afterward, that I will pour out my spirit upon all flesh; and your sons and your daughters shall prophesy, your old men shall dream dreams, your young men shall see visions:

29And also upon the servants and upon the handmaids in those days will I pour out my spirit.

30And I will shew wonders in the heavens and in the earth, blood, and fire, and pillars of smoke.

31The sun shall be turned into darkness, and the moon into blood, before the great and the terrible day of the LORD come.

32And it shall come to pass, that whosoever shall call on the name of the LORD shall be delivered: for in mount Zion and in Jerusalem shall be deliverance, as the LORD hath said, and in the remnant whom the LORD shall call.

Revelation 6:12 (6th seal of 7) in context:

12And I beheld when he had opened the sixth seal, and, lo, there was a great earthquake; and the sun became black as sackcloth of hair, and the moon became as blood; 13And the stars of heaven fell unto the earth, even as a fig tree casteth her untimely figs, when she is shaken of a mighty wind. 14And the heaven departed as a scroll when it is rolled together; and every mountain and island were moved out of their places. 15And the kings of the earth, and the great men, and the rich men, and the chief captains, and the mighty men, and every bondman, and every free man, hid themselves in the dens and in the rocks of the mountains; 16And said to the mountains and rocks, Fall on us, and hide us from the face of him that sitteth on the throne, and from the wrath of the Lamb: 17For the great day of his wrath is come; and who shall be able to stand?

If there is not a concerted effort to report on every earthquake great and small, to coincide those reports with Solar flares, and now the great “tetrad” of the “Four Blood Moons,” to deceive the Christian and stumble the unbelievers, than I must be a soured-pessimist-”scoffer,” or I am just  sick of the false prophesies and false prophets that abound more and more in these last days and those who blindly and willingly follow them!

Where are the other 5 seals? If these “blood moons” are the 6th seal, then certainly John Hagee and his pals who are touting this as a sign of the end can point to the White horse, the Red horse, the Black horse (world wide famine?), the Pale horse… Where are those small insignificant prophetic events? Have they happened thus far? The purpose of numbering the seals doesn’t convey ORDER to anyone, just to me, the jaded scoffer correct?  After the 7 seals come the Trumpet Judgements. That means all 7 seals are broken, released, and happening before, (Unless the numbering doesn’t refer to sequential order, although I lean this way because God is a God of ORDER.) then the trumpet judgement happens with the Blood moon. Not four blood moons, sounds like we only have one moon that turns to blood in such a significant way the man whom Jesus loved, John, wrote it down.

Revelation 6-8

I ask you, where is the hail and fire mingled with blood that was cast upon the earth? A Third of the creatures of the sea –dead? Has this happened and we haven’t been told. We do know if it’s not on twitter it hasn’t happened, but c’mon was this tweeted, because I deleted my account and if it was tweeted, I don’t know about it! Ok, I’m getting riled up I admit. So, the third part of the Sun was smitten then, because this HAS to happen before or at least with the 1/3 part of the moon and stars being smitten…? No? Not yet? We still have till 2015 you say, it could happen between now and the last “blood moon” of John Hagee’s book. Ok. Well if I’m wrong I know where I’ll be and we can discuss it then I guess. For now I will leave you with these last verses:

“42Watch therefore: for ye know not what hour your Lord doth come. 43But know this, that if the goodman of the house had known in what watch the thief would come, he would have watched, and would not have suffered his house to be broken up. 44Therefore be ye also ready: for in such an hour as ye think not the Son of man cometh.” –Jesus the Messiah (Matt. 24:42-44)

19And it shall come to pass, that whosoever will not hearken unto my words which he shall speak in my name, I will require it of him. 20 But the prophet, which shall presume to speak a word in my name, which I have not commanded him to speak, or that shall speak in the name of other gods, even that prophet shall die. 21 And if thou say in thine heart, How shall we know the word which the LORD hath not spoken? 22 When a prophet speaketh in the name of the LORD, if the thing follow not, nor come to pass, that is the thing which the LORD hath not spoken, but the prophet hath spoken it presumptuously: thou shalt not be afraid of him.” Deuteronomy 18:19-22

birds of a feather
birds of a feather







Following Excerpt from:

“The first in a quartet of total lunar eclipses — the only such quartet in a span of 28 years — takes place Monday.

The total phase of Monday’s eclipse will last 78 minutes.

Viewers might be able to detect a very slight duskiness on the moon’s eastern side at about 10:30 p.m. Monday, said Stan Seeberg, with Vancouver Sidewalk Astronomers. If not, it likely will be observable by 10:45 p.m., he said.

At 10:58 p.m., the partial eclipse begins as the moon moves into the Earth’s shadow, or umbra.

There will also be some color to the event, the same effect that tints our sunrises and sunsets, Seeberg said.

“Our atmosphere bends the longer red rays of sunlight into the shadow, giving the moon an overall reddish color, perhaps mixed with orange or brown,” Seeberg said.

Totality begins just past midnight, at 12:07 a.m. Tuesday; total eclipse ends at 1:25 a.m.; and the partial eclipse ends at 2:33 a.m.

“Although the event will be easy to see and appreciate with just your unaided vision, binoculars and telescopes will make it particularly interesting,” Seeberg said. “Through a telescope, you can see craters and other lunar features gradually darken.”

According to a NASA eclipse bulletin, this will be the first total lunar eclipse since Dec. 10, 2011.

The Monday event will be the first of four consecutive lunar eclipses that are all total, called an eclipse tetrad. For two years, a lunar eclipse will occur over the Western Hemisphere every six months. The other three will be on Oct. 8; April 4, 2015; and Sept. 28, 2015.

The last time that happened — a series of four lunar eclipses with no partials — was 2003-2004. It won’t happen again until 2032-2033, according to NASA.”

Further N4TM Commentary:

Who’s prophesy is it that there will be four blood moons and this is the sign of the last days? Did Jesus ever say this would be a sign? I get that these are happening on Jewish calendar holidays, but does that mean Jesus is coming by the last of the four blood moons? Mr. Hagee seems to be confusing himself by reading all those extracurricular books that aren’t scripture.

“The Gemara comments on the significance of solar and lunar eclipses: “The rabbis taught in a beraisa: ‘At the time the sun is stricken [i.e. when its light is diminished], it is a bad omen for the world…. To what can this be compared? It is comparable to a king who made a banquet for his subjects, and placed a lantern before them. He [subsequently] became angry with them and said to his servant, ‘Remove the lantern from before them and let them sit in darkness.’ ”

The Gemara further comments: “The rabbis taught in a beraisa: During the time the sun is stricken, it is a bad omen for idolaters. [During the time that] the moon is stricken, it is a bad omen for the Jewish people” (Sukkah 29a).” Source: JewishPress

Not enough? Here’s more:


Sages in both Babylonia (modern-day Iraq) and the Land of Israel continued to study traditional teachings, including the Mishnah, describing the teachings as having been passed down from Moses at Sinai (either literally or figuratively). The oral discussions were preserved, either by memorization or notation, and later edited together in a manner that places generations of sages in conversation with one another. These teachers were interested in bringing greater harmonization between biblical and rabbinic traditions, largely by providing proof-texts for known laws and explaining differences between the biblical and rabbinic versions of laws. This is the origin of the Gemara.

Babylonian vs. Palestinian

There are actually two works known as “Gemara”–the Babylonian Gemara (referred to as “Bavli” in Hebrew) and the Palestinian (or Jerusalem) Gemara (referred to as “Yerushalmi“). The term “Gemara” itself comes from the Aramaic root g.m.r (equivalent to l.m.d, in Hebrew), giving it the meaning “teaching.” Source: MyJewishLearning

see also:


Nevada rancher’s son tasered by federal agents in fight over right to graze land | Mail Online

Drudge Report has several new headlines (4-12-14)concerning this story and the word is, “The Feds are backing down. “
I guess the trolls’ algorithm calculated too many people were watching this story. ..and err the Feds aren’t ready for anarchy and civil disobedience just yet in the USofA.
Honestly, I have not paid one lick of my attention to this story, however; I’m posting this today because it seems to be gaining attention and it’s sheer madness.

There’s a group of people in Nevada who is turning this into a liberty fight. I don’t know the details of this story, but when the Feds are there with Rangers ready to seize this ranchers cattle for trespassing, perhaps it warrants a look see.
The debate is over whose land it is and who’s trespassing.
I saw this a few days ago on Drudge Report and because this was being reported by Alex Jones’ Prison Planet, or was it Info Wars (they’re the same), I had no desire to give it credence. Alex Jones is part of the deception and often plays the role of victim when he’s actually an instigator.
Last thing the Feds need is a WACO incident, especially with live social media these days. ..

Lawyer: Stabbing suspect like ‘deer in headlights’


Lawyer: Stabbing suspect like ‘deer in headlights’ (from @AP)

“No signs of mental illness. ..”
He was a popular kid, B- B+ student, when approached he appeared like a “dear in headlights.” Maybe he was/is demon posessed? Evil waxing worse and worse? Brainwashed then triggered? He doesn’t fit the m.o of crazed killers. Is the new m.o. mentally stable well liked people?

Russian Defense Ministry vows response to potential US missile shield threat


Moscow will offer an adequate response if it feels that the Russian nuclear deterrent is threatened by the US plans to deploy elements of its missile defense system near Russian borders, a Russian deputy defense minister said Wednesday. Washington has officially stated on numerous occasions that its missile shield is aimed at defending the allies from emerging threats, such as Iran and North Korea, and is not directed against Russia. Deputy Defense Minister Anatoly Antonov said that certain European states have “already forgotten their previous syrupy assurances” and describe the missile shield as “a military counterweight to Russia’s growing “expansionist” policy.”

“It all confirms our previous estimates that the missile shield in Europe, within the context of its current plans, is aimed at undermining Russia’s nuclear deterrent,” the defense official said.
“We also noted that certain NATO members intend to deploy the alliance’s huge military potential near Russia’s borders, which is absolutely against our agreements with NATO,” he continued.
Antonov said that Russia would “closely monitor” any changes in the alliance’s policies on nuclear and missile issues.”We will act accurately and precisely, and avoid emotions,” he said.
Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Nuclear and Missile Defense Policy Elaine Bunn said last week the Pentagon has halted all talks with Russia concerning its anti-missile defense shield in Europe over the Ukrainian crisis.
In mid-December 2013, Russia confirmed that it had deployed tactical ballistic missiles near its borders with NATO member states. The deployment marked Moscow’s response to NATO plans to place elements of the European missile shield close to Russian borders.
NATO opts for tough approach in ties with Moscow – Russian Defense Official
Decisions made by NATO last week show that supporters of “tough approach” in relations with Russia have won, Russian Deputy Defense Minister Anatoly Antonov said Wednesday. Foreign ministers of NATO member states, who met in Brussels on April 1-2, announced the alliance was freezing all practical aspects of its military cooperation with Russia. “The results of the meeting’s showed that supporters of a tough approach to deter Russia, to portray our country as an enemy, a long-term opponent, have won in the alliance,” he said.
He also said that NATO members were waging an “information war” to prevent normalization of ties between Russia and Ukraine, including by disseminating “horror stories” about Russian troops massing along the border with Ukraine.
“We see what NATO does in Ukraine to prevent the normalization of ties with us. Horror stories about Russian armed forces are being disseminated. A harsh and uncompromising information war is under way,” the deputy foreign minister said.
Ties between Moscow and the West plunged to record lows in recent weeks surrounding disagreements over Crimea, which rejoined Russia last month after 60 years as part of Ukraine, RIA Novosti reports.
Certain NATO countries plan massive troops deployment near Russian borders – Russian defense ministry
The position of NATO hardliners seeking to restrain Russia has prevailed against the backdrop of the crisis in Ukraine, Russian Deputy Defense Minister Anatoly Antonov said.
“Russia has taken note of the plans by certain members of the alliance to deploy large military contingents in their territories close to our borders,” Antonov said at a conference titled “Modern aspects of international security” at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations on Wednesday.
“Serious changes are occurring in world politics,” Antonov said. “The issues of trust, openness, and predictability remain at the center of attention among politicians and the military,” the deputy minister said.
“Color revolutions are a new phenomenon in international life. Essentially, they a non-violent way to topple unwanted governments. As a result, there is chaos instead of the declared democracy and freedom,” the senior defense official said.
“We are closely watching such attempts by our closest neighbors because they are aimed against Russia. We shall talk about them at an international conference in Moscow this May,” Antonov said.
“Ukraine is the toughest example of such plans being implemented,” he said.
“When the threat emerged to the life of people in Crimea and the assets of the Black Sea Fleet (BSF), the BSF forces stepped up security at Russian defense facilities,” Antonov recalled.
“Russia has not breached any of its international obligations. Thanks to the high performance of the Russian troops, the bloodshed was prevented,” he said.
As the Ukrainian crisis continues, “some in NATO have been more candid in their claims on missile defense,” Antonov said.
“All this only confirmed our previous fears,” the deputy minister said. “Horror stories are circulating about Russian armed forces and their numbers on the Ukrainian border,” he said.
“A media war is going on without any rules,” Antonov said.
“In this frenzy of propaganda, it is unlikely that someone would believe me. There are however verification procedures and we strictly honor all our obligations. Eight inspection groups have visited Russia recently, and the Ukrainian military did so twice. Seven of the eight were interested in the territories adjacent to Ukraine. Their conclusions as a result of the final briefings – the Russian Armed Forces are not conducting any undeclared activity which could undermine Ukrainian security,” the deputy minister said.
“We shall watch closely any changes in NATO’s nuclear policy and missile-defense plans. We shall not let them turn into threats to Russia’s security,” Antonov said.

Hesitation Within NATO will Encourage Russia to Test Alliance

Fair use. Article for informational purposes only:

Since the end of the Russian-Georgian war in 2008, Russia has been seriously increasing its military budget (up 15-20% annually) and conducting military exercises with more than 100,000 personnel (Zapad 2009, Zapad 2013), targeted towards its western neighbours. Furthermore, Russia has increased its military presence near the Baltic and Polish borders and built up necessary infrastructure. . . .

Russian policies continue to divide Europe, but it is time to change this:

Appeasement policies do not work with aggressors. We already learned it before World War II in Munich, and recently also in Syria. If one draws a red line and it is crossed, one should act. If a hypothetical aggressor gets the idea that NATO members are hesitant to act when some of its members are challenged, aggression will take place.

During the last ten years, a number of European politicians promoted economic interdependence between Russia and Europe as a tool to advance democracy and rule of law in Russia, as well as to gain economic benefits. It resulted in European political dependence on Russia. Economic interdependence makes Europeans incapable of imposing serious sanctions, while Russia as an authoritarian country retains its autonomy of decision making, and it will act if it decides so. . . .

Unfortunately as you can see, the latest polls in Germany show that 60% of Germans are not ready to boost the modest defence capabilities of Baltic region. The results of these polls are a reflection of the long-standing political hesitation of the Western political elite to attach an equal importance to the freedom and security of all countries. In light of the afore-mentioned poll, what would happen if the German public faced the need to go to war for the Baltics as Article 5 of the NATO Treaty requires? The Russian leadership is well-aware of the hesitation and, contrary to many Europeans, is ready not only to talk but also to act. If the crisis continues to escalate, and the lack of determination within major NATO states continues to persist, Russia’s leadership will use this weakness. Hesitation of the NATO member countries will encourage Russia to test the principles of NATO.

Author:Dr. Artis Pabriks is a member of Latvia’s parliament, and has served as Latvian foreign minister (2004-2007) and defense minister (2010-2014).